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Why markets obsess over macro, again (sample)

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Modern market narratives revolve around geopolitics, central banks, inflation, QT/QE, and fiscal policy, while company fundamentals attract far less attention. This shift stems from the rise of passive investing, benchmark-driven mandates, regulatory pressure, and the dominance of central banks since 2008. yet long-term equity performance is still driven by the economics of individual firms. This disconnect creates both risks and opportunities – particularly for systematic, fundamentals-based frameworks like Neox IQ.

The Rise of Passive Investing and the Power of the Index

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John DoeAccounting Manager, Company name

Holdings and distribution

  • Norway 34.7 %
  • Italy 24.4 %
  • Finland 10.5 %
  • Austria 6.2 %
  • Portugal 5.1 %
  • France 5.1 %
  • Netherlands 5.0 %
  • Spain 4.4 %
  • Switzerland 3.7 %
  • Denmark 0.9 %

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Benchmark Pressure and the Growth of Closet Indexing

Second, even among “active” managers, the dominant incentive is to stay close to the benchmark. Consultants, regulators, and investment committees evaluate performance relative to indices, and large deviations – high active share – introduce career and business risk. As a result, many active funds have quietly become “closet indexers,” keeping tracking error low and framing their communication in macro terms rather than detailed stock level views. Macro language is safer, more scalable, and easier to defend.

NDL Performance

5 November 2026

Regulation: The Hidden Engine Behind Indexification

A third, often overlooked driver is regulation. Over the past decade, rules such as MiFID II, PRIIPs, SFDR, IDR, and Dodd-Frank have dramatically increased the compliance burden for financial institutions. Suitability frameworks, product governance, and reporting requirements penalize complexity and emphasize documentation. In this environment, standardized model portfolios and low-cost index ETFs have become the lowest risk choices. High active share strategies, stock specific explanations, and unconventional positioning create additional documentation and potential liability. Macro narratives, by contrast, are easy to justify across clients and regulators. Regulation has therefore unintentionally accelerated the shift toward indexification and macro centric thinking.

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DISCLAIMER These assessments are, as always, subject to the disclaimer provided below.

This material is published by Neox Capital Ltd, for information purposes only and should not be regarded as providing any specific advice. Recipients should make their own independent evaluation of this information and no action should be taken, solely relying on it. This material should not be reproduced or disclosed without our consent. It is not intended for distribution in any jurisdiction in which this would be prohibited. Whilst this information is believed to be reliable, it has not been independently verified by Neox Capital and Neox Capital makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) of any kind, as regards the accuracy or completeness of this information, nor does it accept any responsibility or liability for any loss or damage arising in any way from any use made of or reliance placed on, this information. Unless otherwise stated, any views, forecasts, or estimates are solely those of Neox Capital, as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Neox Capital is authorised and regulated by the MFSA.

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Modern market narratives revolve around geopolitics, central banks, inflation, QT/QE, and fiscal policy, while company fundamentals attract far less attention. This shift stems from the rise of passive investing, benchmark-driven mandates, regulatory pressure, and the dominance of central banks since 2008. yet long-term equity performance is still driven by the economics of individual firms. This […]

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